New York Spring Energy Forecast

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New York is a known trailblazer in terms of clean, renewable energy, and the state is a prevalent figure on the forefront of environmentalism and green policies. Much of its efforts are thanks to forward-thinking prerogatives like the Reforming the Energy Vision (REV) strategy, implemented in 2014 by Governor Andrew M. Cuomo.

The REV initiative strives to achieve several clean energy goals, such as a 40% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, sourcing 50% of electricity from renewable resources and a 600-trillion Btu increase in statewide energy efficiency. The New York State Energy Plan turned to carbon-free and renewable sources of energy such as solar, wind and hydropower, while working to decrease greenhouse gas from its frightening 1990 levels and hoped to see a 23% overall reduction from energy consumption in buildings.

New York has set high standards for itself, hoping to achieve its impressive long-term goal of decreasing carbon emissions by 80% by 2050. Under Governor Cuomo’s administration, New York has been successful in its renewable energy efforts, and with incentive-based programs, even residents have taken to implementing small-scale solar projects as their home energy resource.

Despite all this helpful legislation and massive overhaul to turn the largest northeastern state into one that is environmentally conscious using renewable, clean resources, there’s still a bigger factor that will dictate energy usage to come. It’s the weather and, as much as we’d like to, we can’t control what Mother Nature has in store for us.  Weather is inherently fickle, but fortunately modern science has developed effective tools in predicting what the season will bring about. 

Whatever spring has in store for the northeastern United States, specifically New York itself, will undoubtedly have an impact on the small-scale, affecting the lives of Middletown folks and their energy usage.

New York & Middletown’s Spring Forecast Predictions

Things are already looking positive for New York and its grand energy initiatives.  As you know, the biggest impact and determining factor behind New York’s energy consumption this spring is the weather. As a Middletown resident, you’re already aware of what harsh weather conditions winter in New York can entail, with huge, unforgiving snow storms, freezing temperatures and the potential devastation of your city’s power, electricity and roadways.

Spring in Middletown is much more pleasant than its wintertime. The thaw of spring in the Orange and Rockland counties is always welcomed, especially after the particularly nasty winter that 2019 has wreaked. According to the Farmer’s Almanac, New Yorkers can expect a significantly warmer March with temperatures 1-degree above average at a tolerable 45-degrees Fahrenheit. 

Specifically, the first week of March will bring about sunny and cool weather conditions, with periods of rain dampening the temperatures ever so slightly. Melding into the second week, March will see periods of heavy rain, then the following week, New Yorkers can expect breezy, sunny weather with air that has a slight chill, but not nearly as stingingly cold as the winter months. Spring then makes a much more noticeable debut as Middletown approaches April, where rainy periods turn the weather warm.

What the Spring Forecast Could Tell You About Local Energy Rates

Why does the spring forecast dictate energy rates? Global weather conditions can have an immense impact on local rates, and these mild to warm temperatures we can expect in the spring can mean equally mild energy rates, making this the most opportune time to shop around for the best provider.

New Yorkers are unfortunately very familiar with the concept of a Polar Vortex, and the one that hit the Midwest this winter was especially brutal. With spring inbound, there’s of course less of a chance that the nation will see such horrendously bone-chilling temperatures. The forecast is calling for tepid temperatures, periods of warm rain, and a few cooler days in the mix. This consistency means no chance of frigidly cold air, and in turn, not nearly as many homes cranking up the heat to keep warm during the winter.

Similar extremes occur during the summer months, too. Cooling demands will subsequently drive up the price of gas throughout the summer and this could have a potential impact on natural gas prices in the winter and fall months as well. It depends on whether the country will face an El Niño, an occurrence based on the presence of above-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and the overlying atmospheric conditions that take place across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. 

El Niño patterns can dictate winter and early spring weather conditions, such as above-normal precipitation and warmer than average temperatures in the northern United States. The southern states would face higher levels of precipitation and cooler weather. As the Farmer’s Almanac has already pointed out, Middletown residents and the rest of us New Yorkers can expect similar warmer than expected temperatures and plenty of rain early this spring, so does that mean Middletown is due for an El Niño?

This year, the Climate Prediction Center from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) have issued an alert as of this February of an El Niño advisory. However, the statement from NOAA does indicate an El Niño arrival, but it’s going to be rather weak.

Fortunately, for New York and Middletown residents, this will pan out to be a calm winter and spring in 2019, with no significant storms to fret over.  So, if El Niño isn’t to blame for all of this upcoming rain in New York, what is?

Scientists say that the above-average precipitation that parts of the United States have seen thus far this year can be attributed to another climate phenomena called Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO).  Essentially, the MJO is a union of atmospheric circulation and tropical deep convection, and for the West Coast especially, this means plenty of rain.  On the other hand, El Niño will still come into effect alongside the MJO for this season, and this means rain in the Middletown area, too.

As far as your energy rates are concerned, this big picture scenario of El Niño (and for the opposite effect, La Niña, but it doesn’t look like 2019 can expect this arrival), the MJO, and warmer temperatures will certainly have an impact on what you’re paying for natural gas rates and other energy resources. 

Extreme temperatures, whether they are too hot or too cold, will always affect energy rates as Middletown residents go to crank up the heat during a freezing cold winter or pump the air conditioning in an effort to beat El Niño’s heat waves.  The affect of global temperatures can last into the following seasons, too.

While it seems hopeless to keep up with something so unpredictable and overwhelming like the weather itself, keeping an eye on the forecast can actually be a helpful way to dance around jacked up energy rates, saving you money in the long run.And for New York, the best energy rate is extremely valued based on their green goals for 2030 and beyond.You can find a comprehensive list of the best electricity plans from various energy providers here, and the benefit is that NY Energy Ratings keeps up to date, even at the slightest turn of the forecast